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#3837 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 04.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 2100Z WED AUG 04 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 67.5W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 50SE 25SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 150SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 250SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 67.5W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 68.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 39.0N 63.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 50SE 25SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 75NE 150SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 42.0N 56.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 25SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 25NE 75SE 50SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 175SE 100SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 44.6N 47.4W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 25SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 25NE 200SE 150SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 45.4N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 25NE 200SE 150SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.9N 67.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA |