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| #384428 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 21.Oct.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010 1500 UTC THU OCT 21 2010 INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 80.4W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 80.4W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 80.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.0N 80.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.9N 80.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.0N 81.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.2N 82.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.4N 85.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 105SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.5N 88.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 22.0N 89.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 80.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
