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| #384532 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 21.Oct.2010) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM RICHARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010 0300 UTC FRI OCT 22 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... * HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 80.5W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OR 160 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 80.5W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 80.5W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.8N 81.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N 81.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 82.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.5N 84.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.5N 87.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.5N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 21.5N 89.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 80.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BEVEN |
