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| #384715 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:41 PM 22.Oct.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RICHARD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010 800 PM EDT FRI OCT 22 2010 ...RICHARD MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD TOWARD NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 82.3W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER ABOUT 285 MI...465 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON AND THE BAY ISLANDS * EAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA TO CHETUMAL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HONDURAS FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON AND THE BAY ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. * BELIZE A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICHARD. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICHARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST. RICHARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A WEST TO WEST- NORTHWEST MOTION AT AN INCREASING FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...RICHARD SHOULD APPROACH NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS LATE SATURDAY...AND COULD APPROACH THE COASTS OF BELIZE AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO LATE ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT AIRCRAFT IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER NORTHERN HONDURAS AND THE BAY ISLANDS WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS AROUND 7 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON SATURDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THAT AREA ON SATURDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF BELIZE AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO BY LATE SUNDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/KIMBERLAIN |
