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| #385152 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 24.Oct.2010) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICHARD ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010 1000 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010 ...EYE OF RICHARD PASSING THROUGH CENTRAL BELIZE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 88.6W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM E OF BELMOPAN BELIZE ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WSW OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BELIZE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST COAST OF YUCATAN MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA TO CHETUMAL FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICHARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.6 WEST. RICHARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICHARD WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL BELIZE OVERNIGHT AND INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA EARLY MONDAY. RICHARD IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICHARD IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS RICHARD MOVES FURTHER INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. A WIND GUST TO 62 MPH...100 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE OFFICIAL OBSERVING SITE IN BELIZE CITY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE. WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE EARLY MONDAY MORNING. RAINFALL...RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE BAY ISLANDS...BELIZE...NORTHERN GUATEMALA... AND THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL BELIZE AND NORTHEASTERN GUATEMALA OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...AND THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN GUATEMALA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BERG |
