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#38531 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 09.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1500Z TUE AUG 09 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 53.9W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 53.9W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 53.4W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.7N 55.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.6N 57.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 60.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.3N 62.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.7N 64.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 29.1N 66.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.0N 67.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 53.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z FORECASTER KORTY |