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| #38600 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:02 PM 09.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2100Z TUE AUG 09 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 54.4W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 54.4W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 54.0W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.7N 55.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.4N 57.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 10SW 10NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.7N 59.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.7N 60.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 62.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 28.0N 65.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 29.0N 68.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 54.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
