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| #386258 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:50 PM 29.Oct.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SHARY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202010 200 PM AST FRI OCT 29 2010 ...SHARY STRENGTHENS...NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 65.8W ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...90 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 015 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SHARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST. SHARY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SHARY IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST EAST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO PROVIDE A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY OF SHARY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL...SHARY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART |
