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| #3863 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 04.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004 0300Z THU AUG 05 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 64.8W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 150SE 130SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 300SE 300SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 64.8W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 66.0W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 40.7N 60.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 150SE 130SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 43.8N 51.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 25SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 70SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 175SE 130SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 45.8N 41.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 30NE 200SE 150SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 47.1N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT... 30NE 200SE 150SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.9N 64.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART |
