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#386307 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:59 PM 29.Oct.2010) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SHARY ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202010 500 PM AST FRI OCT 29 2010 ...SHARY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE OVER BERMUDA THIS EVENING.... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.9N 65.0W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SHARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST. SHARY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SHARY IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST EAST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. SHARY IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA TONIGHT. RAINFALL...SHARY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART |