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#386334 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:06 PM 29.Oct.2010) TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM TOMAS SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 800 PM AST FRI OCT 29 2010 ON THE LAST PASS THROUGH THE CENTER OF TOMAS...THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 61 KT AND SFMR MEASUREMENTS AROUND 50 KT. THE WINDS HAVE INCREASED FASTER THAN WAS INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND A SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO INCREASE THE INTENSITY FORECAST THROUGH THE FIRST 48 HOURS. IN ADDITION...THE WIND RADII WERE EXPANDED IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE RECONNAISSANCE DATA. BUOY 41101 IS ALREADY REPORTING SEAS OF 13 FT WELL NORTH OF THE CENTER...REQUIRING AN EXPANSION OF THE 12-FT SEAS RADII. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0000Z 11.6N 57.6W 50 KT 12HR VT 30/0600Z 12.0N 59.5W 55 KT 24HR VT 30/1800Z 12.9N 61.8W 60 KT 36HR VT 31/0600Z 13.5N 64.0W 70 KT 48HR VT 31/1800Z 14.1N 66.2W 80 KT 72HR VT 01/1800Z 14.8N 70.4W 90 KT 96HR VT 02/1800Z 15.2N 74.0W 100 KT 120HR VT 03/1800Z 16.0N 76.0W 100 KT $$ FORECASTER BERG/BROWN |