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| #386465 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 30.Oct.2010) TCMAT1 HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1500 UTC SAT OCT 30 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BARBADOS * DOMINICA * TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO * GRENADA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 60.7W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 90SE 50SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 60.7W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 60.1W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.8N 62.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.4N 64.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 55NE 35SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.8N 67.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 95SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.2N 69.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.6N 72.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 110SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 16.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 60.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
