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| #386524 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 30.Oct.2010) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 500 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 ...TOMAS CONTINUES TO LASH ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT WITH STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINS...AND BATTERING SURF CONDITIONS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 61.4W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF ST. LUCIA ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF ST. VINCENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES * ST. LUCIA * MARTINIQUE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * TOBAGO * GRENADA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.4 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL PASS BETWEEN ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH... 72 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE AND A WIND GUST TO 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON DOMINICA. RECENT REPORTS FROM HAM RADIO OPERATORS INDICATE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE TO HOMES AND POWER LINES HAS OCCURRED ON BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...AND ST. VINCENT. ALSO... HEWANORRA AIRPORT ON ST. LUCIA HAS BEEN CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON ST. LUCIA...ST. VINCENT...AND MARTINIQUE...AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING AREA THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO THIS EVENING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY OCCURRING ON ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT...AND ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS EVENING. RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
