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| #386598 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 AM 31.Oct.2010) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 200 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 ...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS TOMAS A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 62.4W ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF ST. LUCIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA AT MIDNIGHT AST. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * MARTINIQUE * ST. LUCIA * ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. IN THE PAST HOUR A WIND GUST TO 48 MPH...78 KM/HR ...WAS REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING ON THE ISLANDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS. STORM SURGE...LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES ARE STILL POSSIBLE...BUT WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |
