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| #387124 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 02.Nov.2010) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1100 AM EDT TUE NOV 02 2010 ...TOMAS CONTINUES WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.5N 72.6W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM S OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...HAITI...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THESE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TOMAS COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH ON WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN |
