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| #387181 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 02.Nov.2010) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2100 UTC TUE NOV 02 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA INTERESTS IN HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THESE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 74.6W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 60SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 74.6W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 74.2W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.8N 75.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.2N 76.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 35NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.7N 77.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.3N 76.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.1N 74.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 74.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN |
