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| #387335 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 03.Nov.2010) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1500 UTC WED NOV 03 2010 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JAMAICA INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA... THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 75.9W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 75.9W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 75.7W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.5N 76.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.5N 76.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.8N 75.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.1N 74.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.0N 71.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.5N 69.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 75.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
