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| #38761 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 10.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 2100Z WED AUG 10 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 58.8W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 50SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 58.8W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 58.2W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.2N 60.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.1N 62.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.1N 65.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.1N 67.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 27.4N 69.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 29.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 32.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 58.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
