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| #388017 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 AM 06.Nov.2010) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 200 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010 ...TOMAS NEARING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.4N 71.8W ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM ENE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL PASS OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... AND PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA. WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED THIS MORNING IN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THESE AREAS SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TODAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN |
