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#3882 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 05.Aug.2004)
TCMAT1
HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012004
1500Z THU AUG 05 2004


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 57.6W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 30 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 300SE 300SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 300SE 300SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 57.6W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.8N 59.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 44.0N 51.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 300SE 300SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 46.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 300SE 300SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 47.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 300SE 300SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 47.0N 22.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 300SE 300SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N 57.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN