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| #38938 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 11.Aug.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092005 2100Z THU AUG 11 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 63.9W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE 50SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 63.9W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 63.3W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.7N 65.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 27.8N 67.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 28.5N 69.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.1N 70.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 31.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 33.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 35.0N 74.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 63.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
