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| #39453 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 14.Aug.2005) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102005 0900Z SUN AUG 14 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 46.4W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 46.4W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 45.9W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.3N 47.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.4N 48.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N 49.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 46.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z FORECASTER KNABB |
