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| #4069 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 09.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 2100Z MON AUG 09 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 88.7W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 88.7W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 88.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.3N 90.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.3N 90.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.5N 90.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.4N 89.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.0N 86.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 34.0N 80.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 88.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
