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| #4106 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 AM 10.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 0900Z TUE AUG 10 2004 INTERESTS IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BONNIE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 90.1W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 90.1W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 89.7W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.2N 90.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.5N 90.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.6N 89.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.0N 88.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 33.5N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...INLAND OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...ABSORBED INTO FRONTAL ZONDE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 90.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
