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| #41201 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:34 PM 22.Aug.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT MON AUG 22 2005 ...DEPRESSION HEADING WESTWARD IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 85 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA SOMETIME TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...19.5 N... 95.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
