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| #4123 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 10.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 1500Z TUE AUG 10 2004 INTERESTS IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BONNIE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 90.6W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 90.6W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 90.5W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 90.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.2N 90.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N 89.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.5N 86.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.5N 77.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 49.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT OR EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 90.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART |
