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| #41612 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 24.Aug.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 1500Z WED AUG 24 2005 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY. THIS REPLACES THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE LATER TODAY. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 76.7W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 76.7W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 76.5W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 25.4N 77.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.9N 78.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.0N 79.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.1N 80.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.3N 82.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 27.0N 84.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 29.0N 86.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 76.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART |
