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| #4201 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 AM 11.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 0900Z WED AUG 11 2004 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 90.5W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 90.5W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 90.6W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.7N 89.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.6N 88.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.0N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.0N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 43.0N 72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 90.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
