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| #4203 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 11.Aug.2004) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032004 0900Z WED AUG 11 2004 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD INCLUDING PORT-AU-PRINCE. TROPICAL STORM AND/OR HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 74.7W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 50SW 175NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 74.7W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 73.8W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.1N 77.3W...OVER JAMAICA MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.9N 80.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.3N 81.8W...OVER CUBA MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 25.0N 82.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 34.0N 79.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 43.5N 72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 50.0N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 74.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB |
