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| #42934 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 29.Aug.2005) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005 2100Z MON AUG 29 2005 AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR LAKE PONTCHARTAIN AND FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. ALL OTHER WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTAIN AND FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS EVENING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 89.6W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT.......100NE 180SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 360SE 360SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 89.6W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 89.6W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 34.2N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 37.2N 87.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 40.5N 83.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 44.0N 78.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 50.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 53.0N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 89.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH |
