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| #4297 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 11.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004 2100Z WED AUG 11 2004 AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 89.3W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 89.3W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 89.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.2N 87.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.8N 84.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.1N 81.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 38.3N 77.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 48.0N 67.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 89.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART |
