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#4352 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 11.Aug.2004)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022004
0300Z THU AUG 12 2004

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM DESTIN EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH
OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF DESTIN WESTWARD TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 88.4W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 60SE 25SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 88.4W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 88.8W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.9N 86.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.9N 83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.5N 78.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 42.0N 73.5W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 53.5N 62.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 88.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN