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| #43583 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:28 PM 01.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 2100Z THU SEP 01 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 46.6W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 46.6W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 46.2W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.3N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.3N 49.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 22.5N 51.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 23.7N 52.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 29.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 46.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA |
