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#43618 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 01.Sep.2005) TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU SEP 01 2005 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LEE HAS BEEN SHEARED OFF TO THE EAST WITH RAPIDLY WARMING CLOUD TOPS. THE DEPRESSION NOW CONSISTS ONLY OF AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON LEE UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 30 KT BUT THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 25 KT BASED ON THE DEGENERATION OF THE CONVECTION. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN 25 KT WINDS PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE REMNANT LOW CENTER THROUGH 48 HOURS. LEE HAS BEEN DRIFTING WESTWARD OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT THE 12 HOUR MOTION IS TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290/06. NOW THAT THE CYCLONE IS A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT SHOULD MOVE ON A GENERAL NORTHWARD TRACK STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTERED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DISSIPATING DEPRESSION. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 32.4N 52.3W 25 KT 12HR VT 02/1200Z 33.1N 53.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 03/0000Z 34.0N 53.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 03/1200Z 35.0N 53.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 04/0000Z 37.0N 53.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED |