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| #437691 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:49 AM 30.Jun.2011) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012011 700 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2011 ...CENTER OF ARLENE OVER THE CABO ROJO AREA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.6N 97.5W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM N OF TUXPAN MEXICO ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SSE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA CRUZ NORTHWARD TO LA PESCA MEXICO * BARRA DE NAUTLA SOUTHWARD TO VERACRUZ MEXICO THE HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST...OR OVER THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR CABO ROJO. ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY...AND ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES... 335 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. BASED ON DATA FROM AN AUTOMATED STATION AT ISLA LOBOS MEXICO...THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE THROUGH THIS MORNING. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF CABO ROJO. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/BERG |
