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| #44089 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 05.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 0900Z MON SEP 05 2005 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 57.0W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 50SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 200SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 57.0W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 56.9W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.7N 57.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.4N 56.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.0N 54.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 37.3N 52.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 39.3N 49.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 41.5N 43.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 44.5N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N 57.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART |
