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| #4413 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:59 AM 12.Aug.2004) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 AM CDT THU AUG 12 2004 ...BONNIE REGAINS A LITTLE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE PANHANDLE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. BONNIE HAS BEEN ACCELERATING THIS MORNING AND NOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BETWEEN PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT BONNIE HAS REGAINED A LITTLE STRENGTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH BONNIE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 86.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/AVILA |
