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| #442675 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 18.Jul.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011 0300 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 76.6W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 76.6W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 76.8W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.5N 76.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 30.6N 75.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 31.7N 73.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 33.1N 71.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 39.0N 59.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 76.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
