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| #442734 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 19.Jul.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BRET FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011 0900 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 76.4W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 76.4W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 76.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 30.0N 75.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 30.9N 74.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 32.1N 73.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 33.6N 71.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 36.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 76.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
