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| #44516 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 07.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 1500Z WED SEP 07 2005 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 50.9W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 125NW. 34 KT.......150NE 175SE 150SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..425NE 425SE 300SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 50.9W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 51.4W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.8N 49.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 38.2N 47.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 60SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 39.8N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 41.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 46.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 200SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 58.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 50.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH |
