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#44650 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 08.Sep.2005) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005 0900Z THU SEP 08 2005 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 64.6W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 64.6W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 65.0W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.2N 63.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 32.9N 60.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.5N 55.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 36.0N 50.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 40.0N 38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 44.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 48.1N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 64.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART |