Show Selection: |
#446578 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:31 PM 01.Aug.2011) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EMILY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011 2330 UTC MON AUG 01 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONSTSERRAT...AND ANTIGUA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAITI. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONSTSERRAT...AND ANTIGUA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 62.0W AT 01/2330Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 62.0W AT 01/2330Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 60.5W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.6N 63.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 15SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 15SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.4N 68.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N 70.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N 74.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.0N 77.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N 79.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 62.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |