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| #447066 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 03.Aug.2011) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011 1500 UTC WED AUG 03 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN IN EASTERN CUBA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * HAITI * SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN PROVINCES IN EASTERN CUBA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 69.7W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 69.7W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 68.9W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.5N 71.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N 73.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N 75.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N 76.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.6N 78.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N 78.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 34.1N 72.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 69.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
