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#447867 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 06.Aug.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011 500 PM EDT SAT AUG 06 2011 ...EMILY REGENERATES AS A WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION...EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS AND THE U.S. COAST SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.9N 78.1W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WNW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS AND THE U.S. EAST COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH SUNDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNT OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH EMILY. WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY SQUALLS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |