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| #447955 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 06.Aug.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011 1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 06 2011 ...EMILY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD... ...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ON GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.4N 78.2W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NNE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS AND THE U.S. EAST COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EMILY COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON SUNDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH SUNDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH EMILY. WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN HEAVY SQUALLS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
