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| #448175 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 07.Aug.2011) TCDAT5 REMNANTS OF EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011 500 PM EDT SUN AUG 07 2011 SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF EMILY HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER WELL DEFINED. THEREFORE...EMILY DOES NOT MEET THE DEFINITION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THIS WILL BE THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY. REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE RELATIVELY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KT...ALTHOUGH THE EXACT MOTION HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO ESTABLISH AS THE CENTER HAS LOST DEFINITION. THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE REMNANTS OF EMILY WILL MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD OR EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 KT UNTIL THEY ARE ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL ZONE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/2100Z 31.1N 74.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
