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| #44863 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 09.Sep.2005) TCMAT5 HURRICANE NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005 0900Z FRI SEP 09 2005 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 58.1W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 50 KT.......120NE 90SE 30SW 75NW. 34 KT.......240NE 180SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..350NE 150SE 125SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 58.1W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 59.1W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 34.3N 55.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 35.1N 50.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 125SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 36.1N 44.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 125SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 37.3N 40.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 45.1N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 240SE 120SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 58.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN |
