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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#44927 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 09.Sep.2005)
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152005
1500Z FRI SEP 09 2005


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 54.6W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE 90SW 45NW.
34 KT.......150NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 150SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 54.6W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 55.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 35.1N 50.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 35.8N 46.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 36.8N 41.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 39.1N 37.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 47.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 175SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 54.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA