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#44935 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 09.Sep.2005) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005 1500Z FRI SEP 09 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 42.7W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW. 34 KT.......150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 375SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 42.7W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.4N 43.4W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 42.3N 40.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 120SE 120SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.1N 38.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...225NE 225SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 48.5N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 225SW 225NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 52.0N 33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 125NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 250SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 59.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...420NE 360SE 300SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 65.0N 8.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.9N 42.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |