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| #45060 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 AM 10.Sep.2005) TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MARIA HAS FINALLY EVOLVED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. AS SUCH...THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON MARIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. MARIA MIGHT WEAKEN IN THE SHORT-TERM PRIOR TO STRONG BAROCLINIC DYNAMICS RE-INTENSIFYING THE EXTRATROPICAL MARIA INTO A LARGE AND POWERFUL CYCLONE WITH WINDS TO HURRICANE FORCE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 050/15. MARIA SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE FOR 72 HR...THEN GRADUALLY TURN EASTWARD AS IT APPROACHES ICELAND. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE FORECAST WIND RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON LATEST DYNAMICAL MODELS. FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 43.6N 38.6W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 12HR VT 10/1800Z 45.8N 36.6W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 11/0600Z 49.7N 34.1W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 11/1800Z 54.1N 31.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 12/0600Z 56.6N 28.8W 65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 13/0600Z 62.1N 18.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 14/0600Z 65.5N 2.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 15/0600Z...ABSORBED |
